Dan Lyons is wrong in nearly every bit of market prognostication, as John Gruder adroitly takes his argument out behind the barn.
But Gruder leaves out the most basic point: Microsoft formerly licensed its Windows Mobile software to a dozen or more mobile companies. It fell like a stone. So the idea that having a wide variety of manufacturers developing on a mobile OS = guaranteed success is just wrong.
I am willing to bet that Verizon’s iPhone will be a big success.